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DTN Midday Grain Comments 06/24 10:56
Corn Futures Flat-Lower at Midday Wednesday; Soybeans Lower; Wheat
Flat-Higher
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 1 to 2 cents lower; wheat futures are flat to 8 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 1 to 2 cents lower; wheat futures are flat to 8 cents higher. The U.S.
stock market is firmer at midday with the S&P 55 points higher. The U.S. Dollar
Index is 20 points higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade
is weaker with crude off 3.20 and natural gas up .05. Livestock trade is mixed
with cattle leading. Precious metals are weaker with gold off 120.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday with action continuing just
above the recent lows after the test of support Tuesday and bullish news
remaining in short supply. Weekly ethanol production was 12,000 barrels a day
lower, and stocks were up 100,000 on the week. The daily export wire was quiet
with weekly sales expected to be in the 1.0 to 1.2 million metric ton (mmt)
range Thursday. Weather looks to keep concerns limited with the Northern Corn
Belt staying wetter in the short term with little immediate temperature concern
but a warmer extended forecast holding for now. Basis action looks to remain
flat in the short term. On the July chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.24
3/4 is resistance with the recent low at $4.06 1/2 as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 1 to 2 cents lower with sideways action continuing as
meal tries to build momentum. Soy oil continues to sag with fresh export demand
confirmation still limited. Meal is 2.50 to 3.50 higher and oil is 40 to 50
points lower. Basis should stay flat but sliding crush margins could limit
further upside. Weather should allow for good development in the short term
with trade likely to start watching the extended forecast more. The daily wire
was quiet again with weekly sales expected to be in the 600,000 to 800,000
metric ton (mt) range between old- and new-crop. On the July contract chart,
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $11.37 where we find the recent low
at $11.04 1/2 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 8 cents higher at midday with light buying after
we faded Tuesday with harvest pressure to continue along with the strong dollar
as a limiting factor while heat in Europe adds support. Harvest should continue
to roll forth after recent storms with spring wheat areas likely to stay in
good shape in the short term. Matif wheat is solidly higher again today. Weekly
export sales are expected to be in the 350,000 to 550,000 mt range. On the KC
July chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $6.37 with the recent
low at $6.15 1/2 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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